PETER OBI: THE MAN, THE MYTH, THE MOMENTS

May 26, 2025
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Mr. PETER OBI, presidential candidate of the LP in the February 25, 2023 election

Mr. Peter Obi

 

By Agbeze Ireke Kalu Onuma,AI-KO

COMBING THE DUST SERIES

This essay has been brewing for years. My journey of following Peter Obi began in 2003, marked by an encounter at an Ndigbo Lagos meeting at our Secretariat on 38 Kofo Abayomi Street. It was a political committee gathering, where Obi, a member, arrived early—his usual habit. He sat quietly in a corner, exuding an air of understated composure. When I approached to greet and engage him, his reserved demeanor caught me off guard. I wondered: Is this really Peter Obi, the entrepreneur, the serial investor? Or someone else entirely?

That brief conversation, while we waited, was enough to form a first impression—one that I have scrutinized over the years. Obi was different. Always himself. No pretense. No unnecessary airs. He lived simply but with deliberate intent. From that day forward, I observed, read about, and occasionally interacted with him. When he decided to run for the governorship of Anambra, he returned to Ndigbo Lagos to inform the group. Our support was tacit, our prayers sincere. Once thrown into the political spotlight, he transformed—but not in the way most politicians do.

During that meeting, he addressed concerns with his characteristic calm and calculation. When asked how he planned to handle the notorious Uba brothers, who loomed large over Anambra politics, he laid out his strategy without theatrics. Years later, as governor, he remained consistent in his approach, delivering on his words. When he was unjustly removed from office, Obi returned to Ndigbo Lagos once more. While many expressed outrage and frustration, he simply stated that he would seek redress in court. Against all odds and cynical predictions, he fought—and won.

My notes on Obi over the years are extensive. I have repeatedly reexamined my opinions to see if time has altered them. But truly, not much has changed. When he ran alongside Atiku Abubakar in 2019, I was present at Nike Lake Hotel in Enugu and later in Port Harcourt for the PDP primaries. During campaign appearances, I observed him closely. This was not a typical politician. The Atiku-Obi ticket ultimately fell short, but Obi did not sulk in defeat. Beneath the surface of political reporting, he analyzed the outcome with precision, taking lessons without lamentation. Many speculated about his next move. Then, when he made it, the country witnessed a shift. He didn’t win—but he reshaped the rules of engagement. Nigeria has not been the same since.

Just days ago, I came across news suggesting talks of a possible Obi-Atiku pairing once again. My reaction? Again?

At that moment, the years of observations, notes, and thoughts began clamoring to be written. This essay is not what most would expect. It is a rage. A raw, impassioned expression of discontent. At times, I may seem abrupt. I may repeat myself. But I refuse to be silenced any longer.

If this is the only option left—then let it be known: OBI MUST NOT RUN!. Thus begins this my long interrogation and reflection.

THERE’S EVERYTHING WRONG WITH THIS RECENT KITE ABOUT PETER OBI RUNNING AS ATIKU’S VP. Let me start by saying this: the audacity to even float the idea of Peter Obi returning as Atiku Abubakar’s running mate is not just tone-deaf—it’s an insult to the collective intelligence of millions of Nigerians who have spent the last five years screaming into the void, demanding a rupture from the recycled rot of our politics. The same old playbook—horse-trading, backroom deals, and the grotesque spectacle of recycled elites swapping power like a cursed heirloom—has left us here: a nation hemorrhaging hope, a generation gasping for oxygen, and a democracy reduced to a Fuji House of Commotion show. Obi is not a chess piece to be moved by the PDP’s gerontocracy or the APC’s cabal. He is, whether they like it or not, the embodiment of a rebellion against their entire system.

Let’s cut through the nonsense. Nigeria’s political class operates like a cartel, hoarding power, siphoning resources, and weaponizing ethnicity to maintain their grip. For decades, the North—or rather, its self-appointed gatekeepers—has treated the presidency as an entitlement, a birthright safeguarded by a dubious “zoning” arrangement that papers over its own contradictions. But here’s the truth they refuse to swallow: the North they claim to represent is fractured. Bandits control villages, poverty gnaws at 87 million souls, and education statistics read like obituaries. The “geographic North” is a carcass picked clean by its own elites. The “social North”? A mirage. The youth in Kano, Kaduna, and Sokoto aren’t chanting Atiku’s name—they’re online, dissecting Obi’s frugal flight tickets and his 8-year Anambra balance sheets. The myth of Northern invincibility is dead. Even Bloomberg, in a 2022 analysis, noted that Nigeria’s economic freefall under the APC has eroded regional loyalties, creating a “desperation for competence over cronyism.”

The audacious yet contentious proposition of Peter Obi—a figure synonymous with grassroots defiance against systemic decay—being relegated to a vice-presidential role under Atiku Abubakar, a stalwart of the entrenched political order is ridiculously low. This rumor, dismissed as “imaginary” by Obi’s fervent Obidient Movement, has ignited a firestorm of debate, exposing the fissures between Nigeria’s calcified elite structures and the insurgent energies of a generation demanding transformative governance. At the heart of this tension lies a fundamental clash of visions: one rooted in the transactional pragmatism of old-guard politics, the other in the uncompromising idealism of a movement that views Obi not merely as a candidate but as the embodiment of a rupture with Nigeria’s corrosive past.

The proposed coalition, framed as a strategic alliance to unseat the ruling APC, unravels under scrutiny. Its architects suggest a precarious power-sharing arrangement—Atiku’s presidency for a single term, followed by Obi’s ascension in 2031—a promise as legally unenforceable as it is politically naive in a system notorious for reneging on elite pacts. For Obi’s base, many of whom mobilized in 2023 to deliver shocking upsets in traditional APC strongholds like Lagos, such a bargain reeks of capitulation. It would tether their cause to Atiku, a figure indelibly linked to the very patronage networks and regionalist politics they seek to dismantle. The visceral rejection of this proposal underscores a broader disillusionment: the recognition that Nigeria’s crises—from inflation soaring past 34% to rampant insecurity and the repression of dissent under Tinubu’s faltering regime—demand more than superficial realignments of power. They require what Obi’s emerging coalition of intellectuals, activists, and reformists terms a “radical re-engineering” of governance itself.

This recalibration is fueled by a stark generational and ideological schism. The old guard—politicians and erstwhile Obi allies who once cloaked themselves in the rhetoric of change—have retreated into familiar patterns of compromise, their earlier fervor dissolving into silence or overt complicity with the status quo. Their defections lay bare the fragility of loyalty in a system where power is often measured in patronage rather than principles. Yet their abdication has created space for a new vanguard: academics like Pat Utomi, progressive Northern thinkers, and diaspora intellectuals who frame Obi’s mission not as a mere electoral gambit but as a philosophical reckoning with Nigeria’s failures. These voices, amplified by global recognitions such as Sacramento State’s honoring of Obi for peace leadership, reject the tired lexicon of ethnic and regional bargaining.

Instead, they articulate a vision of governance anchored in transparency, youth empowerment, and institutional integrity—a direct challenge to the cronyism and “stale promises” that have defined successive administrations.

Amidst this turmoil, Obi stands at a crossroads. Aligning with Atiku could theoretically broaden his Northern appeal, leveraging the PDP’s skeletal nationwide infrastructure. Yet such a move risks alienating the Obidient base, whose loyalty stems precisely from his perceived purity as an outsider untainted by Abuja’s backroom dealings. The 2023 election revealed the potency of this image: Obi’s surprise victories in diverse regions proved his appeal transcends Nigeria’s entrenched ethno-geographic divides. However, the APC’s structural dominance—bolstered by Tinubu’s incumbency and control of state machinery—poses a formidable barrier. Herein lies the paradox: to defeat a system, must one first infiltrate it? Or does collaboration inherently corrupt the mission?

The answer, for Obi’s evolving coalition, lies in redefining power itself. Theirs is not a campaign for office but for paradigm shift—a rejection of the notion that leadership requires appeasing entrenched interests. The #EndBadGovernance protests and widespread fury over Tinubu’s austerity measures reveal a populace primed for systemic overhaul, not incrementalism.

This sentiment resonates with the Obidient Movement’s core argument: Nigeria’s salvation hinges on uprooting the “persistent culture of cronyism” that allows a narrow elite to hoard resources while millions languish. Token concessions like vice-presidential slots, they argue, only perpetuate this cycle, offering the illusion of inclusion while preserving existing hierarchies.

Yet politics, even revolutionary politics, demands pragmatism. The PDP’s ongoing implosion, marked by defections and internal strife, weakens the opposition’s capacity to mount a united front. Meanwhile, Tinubu’s regime—though beset by crises—retains the coercive tools of state power to suppress dissent, as seen in the crackdowns on protests and media. In this context, Obi’s challenge is to balance the moral clarity that galvanizes his base with the coalition-building required to dismantle an authoritarian-leaning establishment.

The emerging alliance of Southeast academics, Southern minority groups, and progressive Northern elements suggests a potential blueprint: a federation of the marginalized, united not by ethnicity but by shared exclusion from a system rigged for the elite.

Ultimately, the Atiku-Obi speculation is less about political arithmetic than existential identity. Will Nigeria’s opposition succumb to the siren song of “politics as usual,” trading principles for proximity to power? Or can it forge a new ethos—one where leadership is measured not by titles seized but by systems transformed? The Obidient Movement’s defiance offers a tentative answer. Their refusal to “play second fiddle” is both tactical and symbolic: a declaration that the era of elite-imposed compromises is over. As 2027 looms, this struggle will test whether Nigeria’s democratic evolution can birth a politics of conviction—or whether it remains shackled to the ghosts of patronage past. The stakes transcend Obi or Atiku; they speak to the soul of a nation yearning to shed its cycles of betrayal and reclaim the promise of its founding.

Let me explain why this passion feels so deeply personal. I’ve been tracking Peter Obi since 2003, back when he was simply one among many at Ndigbo Lagos meetings—long before social media turned him into a household name. I vividly recall him attending numerous political committee and General Assembly meetings at our Secretariat on Kofo Abayomi Street, Lagos, where Obi would always be there ahead of schedule, quietly settling into a corner. This was Peter Obi—the entrepreneur, the investor, the individual newspapers hailed as a “serial job creator.” Yet, there was no flamboyant display or entourage, no flashy red cap or gilded accessories. Instead, he appeared in a modest shirt and suit, sharing courteous pleasantries and addressing questions with the deliberate precision of someone well-versed in the issues at hand. When I privately asked him how he intended to break the Uba brothers’ tight control over Anambra politics, he didn’t rally for a revolution. He methodically outlined his approach: “First, we recover the stolen funds; then, we rebuild the state and its infrastructure.” No theatrics—just straightforward strategy.
I quickly jotted down in my notebook: “Different breed.” Over the next 20 years, that observation has solidified into a firm conviction. I’ve seen him face electoral defeat, handle public outrage with calm resolve, and head to court—not leading a raucous crowd, but armed with legal evidence and the support of his team. I witnessed him later serve as governor, transforming Anambra’s treasury from a looters’ banquet into a trusted public resource. Even when he joined Atiku’s ticket in 2019—assuming the role of the earnest Igbo figure among the PDP’s northern power brokers—I was there in Enugu at the Nike Lake Hotel auditorium when he, alongside Atiku, addressed Ndigbo, and later observed his campaign in Port Harcourt. To me, it was clear: while his rivals played a street game, Obi was engaged in a quiet game of chess. The electoral setback stung, but Obi didn’t succumb to bitterness—he recalibrated his strategy.
Fast-forward to 2023: the Obidient earthquake, the youth uprising, the hope that maybe—finally—Nigeria could birth a leader untainted by the old poison. Then, days ago, the headlines: “Atiku offers Obi VP slot again.” My reaction? A laugh so bitter it could curdle milk. Again? After all these years of court battles, of rebuilt schools, of him proving governance isn’t magic but math—this is the reward? Demotion to “spare tyre” in a jalopy headed nowhere?
This essay as earlier stated, is both my analysis and an autopsy—of my own naivety, of a system that chews up integrity and spits out compromise. I’ve filled journals with Obi’s quiet defiance, his refusal to wear the crown of victimhood. But here’s the truth that claws at me: If Obi takes that VP slot, it’s not just a betrayal of the Obidient movement. It’s a betrayal of the man I met in 2003—the one who showed up early and has done so ever since then, spoke softly, and fought dirty battles cleanly. The one who made me believe, against all Anambra and Nigerian sense, that principles could outlive politics.
So no, Obi must not run—not as VP, not as Atiku’s junior, not as a pawn in their tired game of musical chairs. Because some of us have been here too long, seen too much. We remember the man before the myth. And we’ll be damned if we let them turn him into another footnote in Nigeria’s book of broken promises. The rage you feel here? It’s not just anger. It’s the scream of a hope that refuses to die quietly.
And yet, here we are—2023 déjà vu. Atiku, smelling of mothballs and entitlement, thinks dangling Obi as VP will pacify the South-East and the “youth vote.” As if we’ve forgotten 2019, when that same alliance collapsed under the weight of mutual suspicion. As if we don’t see the condescension in reducing Obi—a man whose policy rigor shames entire cabinets—to a regional appeasement token. This isn’t politics; it’s necromancy. They’re trying to resurrect a corpse of an idea: that Nigeria’s salvation lies in reheating the same old alliances. But the streets aren’t buying it. Go to Aba, to Port Harcourt, to Lagos—ask the vulcanizer, the market woman, the Uber driver—what they want. They’ll tell you: “We’re tired of stomach infrastructure. We need light. We need roads. We need someone who sees us.”

Obi’s appeal isn’t accidental. It’s a verdict. A man who left N75 billion in Anambra’s coffers, who turned schools from death traps to institutions, who speaks of “consumption to production” like a mantra—this is the antithesis of our politics of plunder. A World Bank’s report on public sector efficiency ranked Anambra, under Obi’s legacy, among the top three states in fiscal responsibility. The IMF has repeatedly cited Nigeria’s debt crisis as a “structural emergency,” yet our leaders jet off to Dubai, leaving Obi to trend on Twitter for using economy class. The contrast isn’t subtle; it’s a slap.

Peter Obi’s political identity has evolved far beyond the confines of his Anambra governorship—a tenure that, while transformative, now feels almost prologue to the seismic role he has carved out since the 2023 elections. If his governorship was a proof of concept, his post-2023 activism has been a masterclass in redefining political influence outside formal power. He operates not as a politician angling for office but as a de facto shadow president, leveraging moral authority and grassroots mobilization to hold Nigeria’s ruling class accountable.

Consider his relentless scrutiny of fiscal recklessness: when the National Assembly allegedly inserted N7 trillion in opaque projects into the 2025 budget—a sum exceeding allocations to health, education, and agriculture combined—Obi didn’t merely tweet indignation. He weaponized data, juxtaposing the graft with the lived realities of 20 million out-of-school children and malnourished infants, framing corruption as existential sabotage.
This isn’t opposition politics; it’s a parallel governance structure, one that bypasses the compromised legislature to speak directly to citizens’ anguish.

But Obi’s power lies not just in critique. Since 2023, he has methodically built bridges across Nigeria’s fractious divides, transforming the Obidient movement from a campaign machine into a cross-cultural coalition. His recent alignment with figures like Adewole Adebayo of the SDP—who openly hinted at stepping down for Obi in 2027—reveals a strategic pragmatism. Adebayo’s admiration for Obi’s “quiet, honourable discussions” underscores a shift: opposition leaders now see him as the gravitational center of a viable anti-Tinubu front, a unifier in a landscape riddled with ego and ethnic calcification .

Even former rivals like Atiku Abubakar and Nasir El-Rufai reportedly court him under the ADC coalition banner, though Obi’s refusal to accept a VP role—rejecting what he calls “politics of positions”—exposes his insistence on principle over patronage . This isn’t mere posturing; it’s a recalibration of power itself. Where others chase titles, Obi builds legitimacy through consistency, showing up at IDP camps, funding scholarships for Almajiri children, and hosting town halls in the North-East—regions where elite neglect has festered for decades.

His critics, like Adams Oshiomhole, dismiss him as a serial defector “wearing Ojukwu’s symbol,” but this misses the point . Obi’s Igbo identity, once weaponized against him, has become a bridge. By invoking Ojukwu—a figure both divisive and symbolic—he doesn’t stoke secessionist nostalgia but reappropriates it as a metaphor for systemic marginalization. And when Senate President Godswill Akpabio pivots from policymaking to “character assassination” at a valedictory service, it’s not mere pettiness—it’s a calculated smokescreen. Distract, deflect, discredit: these are the tools of a regime more invested in survival than statecraft.

Let us not romanticize the corpse of Nigeria’s political coalitions. The same cabal now peddling the Atiku-Obi fantasy as “strategic pragmatism” are the architects of the APC’s ruinous experiment—a so-called progressive alliance that birthed a government more brazen in its looting than any since Abacha. Tinubu’s 2015 pact with Northern elites was not a masterstroke; it was a suicide pact for the nation. What did it yield? A presidency that spent ₦3 billion on “consultants” to digitize Nigeria’s archaic customs while hospitals morphed into morgues. And now these same architects dare suggest Obi—a man who built classrooms with Anambra’s savings—should chain himself to their sinking ship? The audacity!

Coalitions in Nigeria are not bridges to progress; they are Trojan horses for recycled plunder. When has any alliance among elites ever uplifted the masses? When has power ever been “transferred,” not seized?

The Obidient Movement’s greatest strength—its organic, youth-driven fury—is also its Achilles’ heel. While Obi’s frugal flights and policy audits trend on Twitter, the Labour Party crumbles like a poorly baked agege bread. Lawmakers elected on Obi’s coattails defect to the APC, lured by the siren song of “constituency projects” (read: slush funds). This is not mere betrayal; it is proof that hashtags alone cannot dismantle a system wired to monetize hope. The streets may chant “Obi 2027,” but the political machine still runs on diesel—and diesel requires cash, not retweets. Yet here lies the rub: Obi’s refusal to formalize alliances with compromised parties like the PDP or SDP is not stubbornness—it is survival. To drink from their poisoned chalice would be to sacrifice the movement’s soul for a seat at a table where the menu is Nigeria’s carcass.

Consider the global gaze. Bloomberg’s 2023 report laid bare Nigeria’s descent into “economic anarchy”—inflation at 33%, the naira in free fall, debt servicing consuming 98% of revenue. The IMF warns of a “lost decade” unless structural reforms begin yesterday. Yet Tinubu’s cabinet jets to COP28 to lecture the world on climate finance while their own citizens burn forests for cooking fuel. Obi’s response? A forensic dissection of the ₦7 trillion “padded” budget on X Spaces, line by line, exposing phantom projects while mothers hawk akara to pay school fees. This is not mere activism; it is statecraft in exile. The world watches, not with pity, but fascination: Can a man wielding nothing but spreadsheets and moral clarity outmaneuver a billion-dollar kleptocracy?

And then, the ethnic trap. The open letter urging Obi to “learn from Tinubu” and accept a VP slot under Atiku reeks of the same paternalism that has kept the Igbo politically neutered since 1970. “Strategic alliance with the North,” they call it—as if the North were a monolith, not a mosaic of disaffected youths, exploited peasants, and a shrinking cabal of billionaire emirs. Obi’s cross-regional appeal—evident in Arewa youths chanting his name at Kaduna motor parks—is precisely what terrifies the old guard. They cannot tolerate a leader who unites Almajiri beggars and Enugu tech bros under the banner of shared suffering. Their panic manifests as ethnic gaslighting: “Be patient, take VP, wait your turn.” But whose turn is it when 133 million Nigerians wallow in multidimensional poverty? Hunger has no tribe.

Let me be unequivocal: Obi’s refusal to play the VP game is the sharpest rebuke to Nigeria’s feudal politics since Awolowo rejected compromise in ’79. This is not about Igbo presidency—it is about ending the auction of Nigeria’s future to the highest bidder. The Northern elite, stripped of legitimacy, now peddle Obi as a “bridge” to cling to power. But bridges can collapse. Let us build a damn instead—a bulwark against the flood of their corruption. Obi’s candidacy is not a plea for inclusion; it is an ultimatum. The system must break before Nigeria can breathe.

Why must closure wear a tribal mask? Why must revolution be polite? The answers lie in the streets, in the eyes of youths who paint “Obi 2027” on ramshackle kiosks between police extortions. They know what the elite deny: Nigeria’s redemption cannot be negotiated in Wuse mansions or Vatican photo-ops. It will erupt—from the rage of the ignored, the genius of the marginalized, the audacity of those who dare believe a new Nigeria is possible. Obi is not Messiah; he is the spark. Let the old guard tremble as the tinder catches. The inferno of change cannot be VP’d into submission.

When he speaks in Sokoto or Kano, he doesn’t downplay his heritage; he weaponizes it, asking Northern audiences: “If an Igbo man can fight for your child’s education, who exactly is your enemy?” This rhetorical jujitsu flips the script on ethnic politics, transforming perceived tribal bias into a universalist appeal.

The Obidient Movement’s evolution from a viral hashtag to Nigeria’s most potent political insurgency is now caught in the crosscurrents of its own contradictions—a slow metamorphosis that mirrors the nation’s fractured soul. Here lies the Gordian knot: how does a decentralized, youth-driven force, birthed from the ashes of #EndSARS and fueled by Peter Obi’s austere charisma, navigate the quicksand of Nigeria’s prebendal politics without losing its essence?

The movement’s existential tension is twofold. On one hand, it must resist absorption into the very system it seeks to dismantle—a system where opposition parties like the Labour Party (LP) are structurally hobbled by a lack of grassroots machinery and vulnerable to elite co-option. On the other, it must confront the diabolical “oil spill” of Nigeria’s political economy: a toxic blend of state capture, resource curse dynamics, and a ruling class adept at weaponizing distraction .

The Labour Party, once a vessel for Obi’s insurgent candidacy, now teeters between irrelevance and internal decay. The party’s weaknesses are glaring. Its lawmakers, elected on Obi’s coattails, have begun defecting to the APC, exposing the LP’s lack of ideological cohesion and institutional rigor.

This hemorrhage isn’t incidental; it’s systemic. Nigeria’s opposition landscape has always been a graveyard of good intentions, where parties fracture under the weight of elite bargains and regionalist agendas. The LP’s failure to establish a presence in 1,760 polling units during the 2023 elections underscores a deeper malaise: political platforms in Nigeria are often “short rentals,” as Sowore derisively noted—temporary vehicles for ambition rather than vessels for transformative governance .

Yet the Obidient Movement’s struggle transcends party politics. It is battling the “oil curse” of Nigerian governance—a metaphor literalized in the Niger Delta’s ecological and cultural ruin . Just as oil spills suffocate mangrove ecosystems and erode communal traditions, Nigeria’s ruling class has weaponized patronage and ethno-religious division to corrode civic trust. The APC’s playbook—dismissing Obi as a “Twitter president” or stoking fears of Igbo domination—isn’t new; it’s a refined iteration of tactics deployed since Tafawa Balewa’s era, where elites weaponize identity to obscure accountability.

The question of where Obi’s erstwhile elite backers have vanished to—and what new power brokers now orbit his movement—exposes the brittle nature of political loyalty in Nigeria’s patronage-driven ecosystem. In 2023, Obi’s campaign drew fleeting endorsements from a fractured coalition of disgruntled PDP defectors, progressive intellectuals, and a handful of Southeast governors who saw his candidacy as a bargaining chip to extract concessions from Abuja. Today, many of these elites have retreated into the shadows or defected outright, their support evaporating like morning dew under the scorching reality of Tinubu’s retaliatory politics. Take former Governor Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi of Enugu, once a ‘Nicodemus’ Obi ally, now conspicuously silent as he navigates the PDP’s internal chaos and pressures from Atiku’s camp.

Similarly, former PDP stalwarts like Okwesilieze Nwodo—who initially lent rhetorical backing to Obi—have reverted to their Atiku-aligned roots, exposing the transactional underbelly of their earlier posturing . These defections reveal a harsh truth: for much of Nigeria’s political elite, supporting Obi was never about ideology but opportunism—a fleeting rebellion against the APC’s dominance, not a commitment to systemic change.

Yet new elites are cautiously aligning with Obi’s movement, albeit with motives as murky as the Niger Delta’s oil-slicked waters. Nasir El-Rufai, the polarizing former APC governor of Kaduna, now courts Obi under the guise of a “rescue Nigeria” coalition, positioning himself as a kingmaker in the proposed ADC-led alliance. El-Rufai’s sudden pivot—from Tinubu’s ally to Obi’s potential collaborator—smacks less of principle than survival, a bid to remain relevant in a shifting landscape where the APC’s northern hegemony is crumbling. Similarly, ADC’s Ralph Nwosu, once a marginal figure, now basks in the spotlight as his party emerges as the default vehicle for opposition unity, offering Obi a “neutral” platform stripped of Labour’s grassroots radicalism. These new alliances, however, come at a cost: El-Rufai’s reputation for authoritarianism and Nwosu’s opaque restructuring of the ADC risk alienating the Obidient base, who view such figures as relics of the very system Obi vows to dismantle.

The lesson here is stark: elite support for Obi is inherently unstable, oscillating between self-interest and survivalism. While the original elites sought to instrumentalize his movement for short-term gains, the new entrants seek to dilute its transformative potential into yet another elite bargain. Comrade Kennedy Iyere, a key youth mobilizer, warns that Obi’s dalliance with these “political vampires” could hemorrhage his organic support, noting that “these PDP elites are 100% loyal to Atiku, and zero percent loyal to Obi”. The gemstone in this chaos lies in Obi’s precarious balancing act: leveraging elite networks to expand his coalition while resisting absorption into their venal machinery. His recent donation to an Anglican school in Kubwa—framed as “fighting poverty, not chasing positions”—is a masterclass in this duality, signaling moral consistency even as backroom coalition talks simmer.

Yet the ultimate revelation is this: Obi’s greatest strength isn’t the elites he attracts, but those he repels. The Obidient Movement’s meteoric rise was fueled by its rejection of the godfathers who have bankrupted Nigeria. To sustain momentum, Obi must weaponize this antipathy, transforming elite defections into proof of his movement’s purity. When Sowunmi begs the PDP to “bring Peter back,” it isn’t a compliment—it’s an admission of the party’s irrelevance, a desperate bid to co-opt the energy it cannot replicate. The political gemstone? Nigeria’s future hinges not on which elites endorse Obi, but on whether he can transcend their games entirely—building a parallel governance model where power flows from the streets, not the suites. The elites will always flock to the light; the challenge is ensuring they don’t eclipse it.

The Obidient Movement’s ideological backbone is not only youth-driven—it is fortified by Nigeria’s intellectual class, a coalition of thinkers like Pat Utomi, Kingsley Moghalu, and Oby Ezekwesili, whose gravitas over the years bridges the Southeast, South-South, and even reformist Northern circles. Yet their engagement with Peter Obi’s political project reveals a tension between idealism and pragmatism, regional loyalty and pan-Nigerian vision, that mirrors the nation’s own contradictions.

Take Pat Utomi, the political economist and management guru, whose recent clash with Tinubu’s aide Bayo Onanuga over alleged protest sponsorship underscores the precarious role of intellectuals in Nigeria’s politics. Utomi’s defiance—challenging Onanuga to “present evidence” of his involvement—is not just personal defense; it’s a microcosm of the broader struggle between Obi’s technocratic allies and a regime threatened by their moral authority. Utomi’s decades-long advocacy for ethical governance and his Washington-based fellowship during the alleged protest planning period position him as Obi’s intellectual counterpart—a thinker whose global credibility amplifies the movement’s legitimacy. Yet his recent refusal to seek office or government contracts also highlights a paradox: Nigeria’s brightest minds often remain aloof from formal politics, leaving a vacuum easily filled by career opportunists.

In the Southeast, the intellectual class is fractured. Figures like Charles Soludo and the late Dora Akunyili represent a generation of technocrats who rose under Obasanjo’s PDP but now grapple with Obi’s disruption of regional power dynamics. Soludo’s public critiques of Obi—framed as betrayal of Ojukwu’s APGA-led Igbo unity project —mask a deeper anxiety: the fear that Obi’s cross-regional appeal undermines the Southeast elite’s traditional role as ethnic gatekeepers. Soludo’s vision, rooted in the belief that Igbo presidency requires strategic alliances, clashes with Obi’s grassroots, anti-establishment surge. This schism reflects a generational divide: the old guard clings to bloc voting and backroom deals, while Obi’s base demands transparency and meritocracy.

Northern intellectuals, meanwhile, oscillate between cautious endorsement and tactical skepticism. The “Northern-backed Obi presidency” proposal—floated by several Northern voices —advocates a one-term Obi administration as a “corrective” to decades of Southeastern marginalization, contingent on Northern control of the subsequent VP slot . This Machiavellian calculus, framed as “strategic balance,” reveals a Northern intellectual class torn between recognizing Obi’s competence and preserving their region’s hegemony. It’s a bargain steeped in realpolitik: support Obi to appease Southern grievances, but ensure power swiftly returns North—a transactional approach at odds with Obi’s transformational rhetoric.

The South-South’s intelligentsia, though less vocal, plays a subtler role. Figures like late Pa Edwin Clark until his death recently was staunch Obi supporter; however several Niger Delta activists, while not overtly Obidient, tacitly align with Obi’s fiscal federalism demands, seeing parallels between Southeastern marginalization and the Delta’s resource exploitation. Utomi’s roots in Delta State and his pan-Nigerian advocacy exemplify this bridge-building, though the region’s political elites remain wary, still tethered to PDP’s crumbling machinery.

What unites these disparate intellectuals is their shared disillusionment with Nigeria’s extractive governance model—and their divergent remedies. Utomi’s think-tank approach, Soludo’s APGA nostalgia leading him to a bizarre romance with Tinubu, and Northern elites’ rotational arithmetic all seek to co-opt Obi’s momentum into their frameworks. Yet Obi’s refusal to be pigeonholed—evidenced by his ambiguous response to coalition talks —frustrates them. His strength lies in transcending their silos, appealing directly to the “market woman in Onitsha and the Almajiri in Kano” , a strategy that renders traditional intellectual gatekeepers redundant.

The lesson here is stark: Nigeria’s intelligentsia, while vital to framing national discourse, risks irrelevance if it cannot shed its elitist detachment. Obi’s movement thrives not on policy papers only from Abuja think tanks, but on social media explainers dissecting budget padding. The true “gemstone” is this democratization of ideas: a populace no longer content to be lectured by professors but eager to audit power themselves. Utomi’s challenge to Onanuga wasn’t a defense of integrity—it was a declaration that the era of intellectual aloofness is over. In Obi’s Nigeria, every citizen is both a thinker and actor, a fusion that terrifies the old guard but ignites the masses.

The question now is whether these intellectuals will humble themselves to join the streets—or remain marooned in their ivory towers, drafting roadmaps to a future that’s already being built without them.

The political landscape of Nigeria’s South-East is a labyrinth of contradictions, where the aspirations of the Igbo people collide with the self-preservation instincts of their own elite. At the heart of this dissonance lies Peter Obi—a figure who embodies both the region’s hope for redemption and the ruling class’s existential dread of obsolescence. The South-East political class, far from being a monolith, is fractured along lines of ideology, ambition, and allegiance to Nigeria’s entrenched power structures. While Obi’s rise has galvanized a grassroots movement demanding systemic change, the region’s governors and ministers oscillate between performative solidarity and outright sabotage, revealing a crisis of purpose among Igbo leaders.

Take the spectacle of Works Minister Dave Umahi—a former Ebonyi PDP governor, now an APC prooagandist—publicly urging Obi to abandon opposition politics and endorse Tinubu’s re-election, citing infrastructural projects like the Lagos-Calabar Highway as proof of the APC’s “commitment to the South-East” . This rhetoric, steeped in transactional logic, exposes a chilling truth: segments of the Igbo political elite prioritize federal patronage over regional sovereignty. Their calculus is simple—align with the ruling party to secure roads and bridges, even if it means perpetuating the very system that has marginalized Ndigbo since 1966. Yet these “gifts” are mirages. The Second Niger Bridge, touted as Buhari and APC’s magnanimity, was initiated under Jonathan and weaponized as a campaign prop by successive administrations . To frame such projects as benevolence rather than delayed reparations is to gaslight a region starved of equity.

The South-East governors’ schizophrenic stance toward Obi is equally telling. While Obi implores them to collaborate on security and economic revival—a plea echoed in his 2024 Port Harcourt speech urging unity to combat insecurity —their response has been tepid at best. More like the Benue’s Governor Alia, who blocked Obi’s visit to IDP camps, framing it as a “security risk,” while allowing Fulani herders to ravage communities unchecked. This duality—publicly posturing as regional champions while privately sabotaging grassroots mobilization—reflects a deeper malaise: the South-East elite’s addiction to stomach infrastructure. For many, Obi’s frugal transparency threatens the patronage networks that sustain their relevance. How else to explain their reluctance to rally behind a leader whose Anambra governance model—prudent savings, rebuilt schools, and a N75 billion exit fund—proves that development need not be synonymous with looting?

Yet the rot runs deeper. The 2023 elections laid bare the ideological vacuum plaguing Igbo leadership. While Obi’s Labour Party harnessed the Obidient movement’s fury, the PDP-aligned elite—including senators and governors—watched passively as Tinubu’s machinery rigged with brazen impunity. Their silence wasn’t mere complicity; it was a survival tactic. Many had struck backroom deals, trading bloc votes for committee seats or federal appointments. This betrayal mirrors the historical pattern: from Zik’s compromised federalism to Ekwueme’s PDP marginalization, the Igbo political class has repeatedly bartered collective destiny for crumbs from Abuja’s table.

Obi’s existential threat to this order is twofold. First, his cross-regional appeal—evidenced by Northern youth chanting “Obi 2027” in Kaduna motor parks—bypasses the elite’s gatekeeping role, rendering them obsolete. Second, his policy rigor exposes their incompetence. When Obi audits budgets live on social media, dissecting padded contracts, he doesn’t just shame Tinubu—he indicts South-East governors who’ve presided over dilapidated state treasuries. No wonder figures like Umahi dismiss him as a “Twitter president”; accountability is kryptonite to their reign.

But the most damning revelation lies in the alternative roadmap proposed by Igbo intellectuals: a Northern-backed Obi presidency in 2027, followed by a strategic power balance. This plan presently making the rounds in small circles, though pragmatic, underscores the South-East elite’s failure to build internal cohesion. That Ndigbo must still broker existential alliances with the North—the same region that birthed the “1966 coup” narrative used to justify their marginalization—speaks volumes. It confirms that decades of Igbo leadership have produced no viable political machinery, only a revolving door of opportunists.

The tragedy is that Obi’s movement offers a rare chance to reset this decay. His call for South-East governors to “work as a family” on security and economic revival isn’t naïve idealism—it’s a survival blueprint. Yet by clinging to Abuja’s apron strings, the elite sabotage their own people. The question isn’t whether Obi can unite Ndigbo—it’s whether the South-East’s political class can transcend its Stockholm syndrome and recognize that their future lies not in Tinubu’s toll roads or the Northern poisoned chalice, but in the collective defiance of a system built to keep them beggars in their own land. Until then, Obi remains less a leader than a mirror—reflecting both the Igbo nation’s potential and its parasitic elite’s cowardice.

Obi’s edge lies in his refusal to play by these rules. His post-2023 strategy—eschewing VP gambits with Atiku, auditing budgets on live streams, and building bridges with Northern Almajiri communities—signals a rejection of transactional politics. Unlike Sowore, who dismisses him as insufficiently “revolutionary” , Obi understands that Nigeria’s rot is too systemic for performative resistance. His “coalition against poverty” isn’t a slogan; it’s a deliberate pivot from power-seeking to nation-building, a recognition that legitimacy is earned through relentless proximity to the people. When Obi funds scholarships for out-of-school children in Sokoto or critiques the N7 trillion “opaque projects” in the 2025 budget, he’s not just opposing Tinubu—he’s modeling an alternative governance ethos rooted in accountability over access.

But herein lies the paradox: the Obidient Movement’s strength—its organic, leaderless fervor—is also its vulnerability. Without institutional scaffolding, it risks becoming another footnote in Nigeria’s history of aborted rebellions. The movement’s promise to register members and deploy “unit commanders” hints at a nascent structure, but it withstand the gravitational pull of Nigeria’s clientelist politics?

The answer hinges on Obi’s ability to balance moral authority with tactical pragmatism. He cannot afford the purism of a Sankara nor the compromise of an Obasanjo. His 2027 calculus—whether to reform the LP, join a coalition, or forge a new platform—must reconcile idealism with the grim realities of a nation where 33% unemployment and 22% inflation make desperation a political currency. The stakes are existential.

Nigeria’s “oil curse” isn’t just economic; it’s a civilizational malaise. Just as the Ogoni of Bodo saw their sacred creeks desecrated by Shell’s spills , generations of Nigerians have watched their future auctioned by kleptocrats. Obi’s measured ambition—a refusal to “throw Nigeria to the dogs” for power—is both his superpower and his gamble. It rejects the Faustian bargains that doomed past movements, but risks ceding ground to those who thrive on chaos. Yet, in this refusal lies hope: a recognition that Nigeria’s redemption requires not just a new leader, but a new social contract—one where power resides not in pipelines or palaces, but in the quiet, unyielding resolve of a people finally ready to reclaim their destiny.

Tangibly, Obi’s post-2023 impact is measured in shifting Overton windows. His “consumption to production” mantra has infiltrated mainstream discourse, pushing even APC governors to awkwardly mimic his calls for agrarian revival. His frugality—flying economy while ministers charter jets—has become a cultural shorthand for integrity, so potent that Tinubu’s camp now feels compelled to stage photo-ops of austerity . And his policy audits—like dissecting the budget line-by-line on live streams—have birthed a new norm: citizens now demand transparency as a right, not a favor. Yet Obi’s greatest disruption is existential. He proves power isn’t seized; it’s earned through relentless proximity to the people.

While Tinubu’s presidency cloisters itself behind Abuja’s gates, Obi’s “shadow cabinet” operates in motor parks, lecture halls, and Twitter Spaces. He isn’t waiting for 2027 to govern; he’s already rewriting the rules, turning every critique into a policy blueprint and every rally into a participatory democracy lab. The man isn’t just campaigning—he’s prototyping a new Nigeria, one stripped of prebendalism, where compassion isn’t weakness but the ultimate political currency.

But here’s where my rage boils over: the Igbo question. Since 1966, the Southeast has been treated as a suspect, perpetually “too ambitious,” its presidential aspirations framed as a threat to “national unity.” Meanwhile, the North has produced presidents for 38 of Nigeria’s 62 years post-independence. The hypocrisy is nauseating. When Tinubu, a Yoruba man, runs, it’s “national unity.” When Obi runs, it’s “Igbo presidency.” This isn’t about ethnicity—it’s about gatekeeping. The same elites who’ve privatized our commonwealth fear a leader unplugged from their matrix. Obi’s sin isn’t being Igbo; it’s being incorruptible. It’s refusing to play the “settlement” game. A 2023 Chatham House paper put it bluntly: Nigeria’s corruption isn’t just financial; it’s a “governance culture” that Obi’s austere transparency threatens.

Let’s speak plainly: Nigeria needs closure. A reckoning. The civil war never ended in the mind; it festers in neglected checkpoints, in “federal projects” that skip the East, in the silence after every “IPOB” hashtag. Obi represents that closure—not because he’s Igbo, but because he’s the first Southern candidate in decades whose message transcends the Niger. The North’s youth—60% of whom are under 25—are not their fathers. They’re on TikTok, trading memes about unemployment rates (33%, NBS 2023), not obsessing over 1966. The Arewa Youth Consultative Forum’s 2022 poll revealed 41% support for Obi in the North—a seismic shift the old guard dismisses at their peril.

Atiku should not run. The North’s political aristocracy must step aside—not as a favor, but as penance. Their time has passed; their strategies—stoking religious divides, hoarding oil blocs, outsourcing terror—have birthed a monster even they can’t control. Power isn’t clinging to a title; it’s recognizing when the tide has turned. The “right call” is to back Obi—not as a regional candidate, but as a national reset. The EU’s 2023 Nigeria report warned that “youth alienation” could tip the country into irreversible instability. Obi isn’t just an alternative; he’s the circuit breaker.

Let us further dissect this so-called “political bargain” a bit more with the scalpel it deserves. The argument that Atiku’s VP offer to Obi is a “strategic move to unite opposition forces” reeks of the same recycled delusions that birthed the APC—a coalition that promised revolution but delivered ruin. Yes, on paper, merging Obi’s grassroots fury with Atiku’s decrepit PDP machinery might seem like arithmetic genius: youth energy + Northern votes = Tinubu’s defeat. But when has Nigerian politics ever been governed by math rather than malice? The 2015 alliance between Tinubu and Northern elites didn’t “save” Nigeria; it auctioned it. Today, those peddling this VP fantasy ignore history’s verdict: coalitions among Nigeria’s elite are not marriages of ideology but mergers of convenience, designed to preserve the status quo under new letterheads. Remember the PDP’s 16-year reign? A rotating carousel of recycled thieves, each taking turns to empty the treasury. To suggest Obi—a man who turned Anambra’s treasury into a public ledger—should now chain himself to Atiku’s sinking ship isn’t strategy; it’s sacrilege.

And what of the vice presidency itself? Jimi Disu’s blunt metaphor—a “spare tyre”—cuts to the bone of Nigeria’s farcical power structure. When has a Nigerian VP ever wielded real influence? Ask Namadi Sambo, perpetually sidelined as Jonathan’s placeholder. Or Yemi Osinbajo, reduced to reading pre-written speeches while cabals schemed in Aso Rock’s backrooms. The VP role is a gilded cage, a ceremonial perch from which Obi would watch, impotent, as Atiku’s cronies repackage the same old looting manuals. Obi’s strength lies in his autonomy—his ability to audit budgets on live streams, to shame lawmakers into accountability, to embody an alternative to the system. Accepting the VP slot wouldn’t make him a kingmaker; it would make him a court jester, dancing for scraps at the high table of the very oligarchy he seeks to dismantle.

But the greatest betrayal would be to the Obidient Movement itself—a generation that weaponized social media spaces to shatter the myth of youth apathy. These are not the “usual suspects” of Nigerian politics: they’re graduates hawking pure water in Lagos traffic, tech bros coding in darkness during blackouts, mothers crowdfunding school fees and house rents on WhatsApp. To them, Obi isn’t just a candidate; he’s a covenant—a promise that integrity can triumph over impunity. The moment he accepts a VP role under Atiku, that covenant ruptures. How do you motivate a movement built on “Take Back Nigeria” to chant “Take Back Second Place”? The energy isn’t transferable; it’s combustible. When LP chieftains warn that Obi risks losing “organic youth support” by aligning with Atiku, they’re not speculating—they’re stating fact. The Obidient Movement isn’t a ballot bank; it’s a cultural reset. Treat it as a bargaining chip, and it will shatter like the PDP’s 60-year myth of dominance.

Then there’s the grotesque theater of “trust” and “succession.” Atiku’s camp whispers sweet nothings about a one-term deal, as if Nigerian history isn’t littered with the carcasses of broken political promises. Did Buhari not vow to serve one term in 2015 before scrambling for eight years? Did Jonathan not swear “one term” until ambition—and Dame Patience—intervene? Even if Atiku miraculously honors this pledge, what guarantees exist? None. Nigeria’s presidency is a drug, and no addict surrenders the syringe willingly. Obi would be gambling the nation’s future on a handshake deal with a man whose own party can’t decide if it’s in opposition or collusion with the APC. This isn’t politics; it’s Russian roulette with five bullets loaded.

The desperation to migrate this “alliance” to a “neutral platform” like the ADC only amplifies the farce. The ADC—a party so politically irrelevant its acronym is often mistaken for a tech term—isn’t a platform; it’s a life raft for sinking careers. Nigerian voters aren’t fools; they recognize musical chairs when they see it. The Obidient Movement’s potency lies in its perceived purity—a crusade untainted by PDP’s rot or APC’s arrogance. To rebrand it under the ADC would be to swap a lion’s heart for a chicken’s beak. The Labour Party, for all its flaws, remains a symbolic vessel—a marker of rupture from the old order. Abandoning it for ADC wouldn’t be evolution; it’d be euthanasia.

Obi’s coyness on the matter—claiming he’s “part of a coalition against hunger”—is both tactical and telling. He knows the Obidient Movement’s loyalty isn’t to him as a person, but to the idea he represents: a Nigeria unshackled from godfathers. His ambiguity isn’t indecision; it’s insulation. By refusing to outright reject the VP rumors, he forces the political class to reveal their hand, exposing the desperation of elites who see him not as a leader but a disruptor to be co-opted. Yet this dance is dangerous. Every day spent humoring Atiku’s overtures is a day the movement’s momentum risks dilution. The youth aren’t patient; their rage is a perishable commodity.

Let’s speak plainly: Nigeria’s salvation cannot be negotiated in Wuse backrooms or Vatican photo-ops where Obi and Tinubu exchange hollow pleasantries. True power doesn’t reside in titles but in tectonic shifts—the kind Obi ignited when he turned budget debates into national spectator sport. The Northern elite, thrashing in their death throes, dangle VP offers not to share power but to neuter a revolution. Obi’s retort should be incendiary: “If you want me, come take me—as president.” Anything less isn’t compromise; it’s capitulation. The streets don’t need a spare tyre; they demand a new engine. And only a fool swaps a wrecking ball for a participation trophy.

The decampings? The PDP and APC’s musical chairs? Noise. Nothing changes. The streets still stink of diesel. The naira still sinks. We’re trapped in a loop, and Obi is the only candidate speaking in code the system doesn’t recognize: accountability. The Economist called him “Nigeria’s accidental revolutionary,” but there’s nothing accidental about it. It’s a movement—raw, organic, hungry.

Peter Obi’s insistence on framing his 2027 ambitions around a “coalition against hunger, poverty, and bad governance” rather than political positioning is both a masterstroke of moral branding and a gamble that exposes the fragility of Nigeria’s opposition politics.

His refusal to entertain the role of Atiku’s vice president—a position he dismissed as “selfish ambition detrimental to the nation”—reveals a calculated defiance of Nigeria’s transactional political culture, where alliances are often brokered in smoke-filled rooms rather than forged around policy . Yet this stance is fraught with contradictions. While Obi’s donation to a school project underscores his commitment to education as a counter to governmental failure, it also highlights the vacuum left by a state so inept that churches and private citizens now shoulder its responsibilities. His performative frugality—flying economy, funding grassroots projects—resonates with a populace weary of excess, but risks reducing systemic change to symbolism unless paired with structural mobilization.

The open letter by Dr. Sani Sa’idu Baba urging Obi to accept a VP slot under Atiku as a “strategic North-South-East alliance” mirrors the South-West’s 2015 playbook, where Tinubu’s pact with Northern elites paved his path to power. Baba argues that the Igbo presidency hinges on such coalitions, noting that “no region can do it alone” in Nigeria’s clientelist democracy. Yet this logic assumes the Northern political bloc—a fractious entity itself hemorrhaging legitimacy—retains the kingmaking power it once wielded. Obi’s cryptic response—“You can make of the report what you want”—suggests neither rejection nor endorsement, leaving room for negotiation while preserving his image as a principled outsider.

However, Atiku’s purported offer of a single-term presidency with Obi as successor reeks of the same elite horse-trading Obi condemns, a Faustian bargain that could erode his credibility among the Obidient base, who view compromise as capitulation.
Meanwhile, Obi’s warning that “failing to protect Borno is failing Nigeria” reframes insecurity as a national existential crisis rather than a regional burden. By aligning with Governor Zulum’s hands-on governance—even spending nights in insurgent-threatened areas—Obi positions himself as a leader who prioritizes presence over rhetoric. This contrasts sharply with Tinubu’s detached “Renewed Hope” agenda, which has struggled to curb banditry in the Northwest or ISWAP’s resurgence in the Lake Chad Basin. Yet Obi’s critique risks appearing opportunistic unless backed by concrete policy alternatives. His call for “decisive federal action” echoes past platitudes unless he articulates how a hypothetical Obi administration would overhaul security architecture—a gap his campaign has yet to fill.

The Labour Party’s disintegration—with lawmakers defecting to the APC and internal squabbles over ideology—exposes the limits of Obi’s “movement-first” strategy. While Yunusa Tanko claims the Obidient Movement transcends the LP, the party’s collapse into irrelevance undermines Obi’s ability to legislate change or build a durable platform. Without institutional scaffolding, the movement risks becoming another #EndSARS—a viral moment lacking the machinery to convert outrage into governance.

Obi’s reluctance to formalize alliances with parties like the SDP or ADC, despite Adewole Adebayo’s overtures, reflects a purism that may isolate him politically. Yet this very refusal to “play the game” sustains his appeal as an antidote to Nigeria’s calcified kleptocracy.

The ruling APC’s smear tactics—labeling Obi a “Twitter president” or stoking Igbo-phobia—are straight from the playbook of past regimes, from Tafawa Balewa’s suppression of dissent to Obasanjo’s militarization of politics. By reducing Obi’s candidacy to ethnic entrepreneurship, they deflect from his cross-regional appeal: Northern youth in Kano and Kaduna, disillusioned by APC’s economic mismanagement, now gravitate toward his frugal ethos. Obi’s retort that his “only enemy is corruption” cleverly sidesteps ethnic traps, reframing the struggle as a class war against elite predation rather than a zero-sum tribal contest.

Ultimately, Obi’s 2027 calculus hinges on a precarious balance: maintaining the moral high ground while navigating Nigeria’s venal political terrain. His refusal to “throw Nigeria to the dogs” for power—a nod to Mandela-esque restraint—may resonate with a public exhausted by winner-takes-all politics. Yet without coalition-building, even tacit, he risks ceding ground to Tinubu’s entrenched machinery.

Now is the time to ask, Who really is Peter Obi? This question has been asked severally across different places by almost every thinking person in Nigeria. I don’t have the answer. No one does. Even Obi. But here’s my take:
Picture this: a man walks into Nigeria’s political arena clutching a notebook while everyone else is waving machetes and bags of cash. That’s Peter Obi in a nutshell—a walking paradox, a human antidote to the poison of Nigeria’s politics. Born in Onitsha, a city where the clatter of commerce drowns out everything else, Obi grew up breathing the sharp, competitive air of its markets. You can still see it in him—the haggling instincts of a trader who knows the value of a naira, the patience of a man who’d rather save than splurge. While other politicians were learning how to rig elections or smuggle dollars, Obi was mastering the art of turning nothing into something, a skill he’d later use to rescue Anambra State from bankruptcy and leave it with billions in the bank.
But let’s cut through the CV. To his wife and kids, Obi is that dad who’d rather repair his decade-old shoes than buy new ones because its utility value is still valid. The kind of man who sends his son to teach in a public school instead of buying him a Range Rover—because “privilege without purpose is poison.” To his friends, he’s the guy who shows up unannounced with a head full of ideas, debating policy at 2 a.m. like it’s a sport. To his enemies? He’s the nightmare they can’t wake up from—a politician who doesn’t want their money, their godfathers, or their dirty deals. Imagine their confusion: How do you bribe a man who flies economy class for fun?
Obi’s rise feels like a Nollywood plot twist. Here’s a former governor who’d rather livestream a budget breakdown on Instagram than host a N100 million birthday bash. A man whose idea of flexing is wearing the same clothes to three events in a row. In a country where politicians treat public funds like a buffet, Obi’s the guy who brings his own lunch—literally. His critics call him “Saint Obi” mockingly, but that’s the point. In a system built on excess, his frugality is a middle finger to the status quo.
Then there’s the Obidient movement—a Gen-Z rebellion that turned Obi into Nigeria’s accidental revolutionary. These aren’t your grandfather’s political thugs; they’re TikTokers, coders, and pure water hawkers who’ve weaponized memes and hashtags to demand change. When Obi talks about “consumption to production,” they don’t just nod—they remix it into Afrobeat tracks and graffiti murals. His appeal isn’t in polished manifestos but in raw relatability: He gets it. He’s the uncle who shows up at the family meeting with receipts, proving the money wasn’t stolen—it was never there to begin with.
But let’s not romanticize him. The Pandora Papers revealed offshore accounts tied to his family, a stain his supporters dismiss as “old news” and rivals weaponize as hypocrisy. Yet even here, Obi defies expectations. No villas in Dubai, no private jets—just a few investments his team claims. In a nation where leaders steal billions, Obi’s sins feel quaint, almost charming. “At least he’s not building a gold-plated toilet,” the streets shrug.
What really grinds the gears of Nigeria’s political dinosaurs is Obi’s refusal to play their game. When Atiku dangles a VP slot—a “spare tyre” role with all the power of a potted plant—Obi doesn’t just say no. He turns it into a teachable moment, lecturing about “principles over positions” like a professor who’s tired of his students failing Ethics 101. The Northern elite, sweating under their babarigas, whisper that he’s “too Igbo,” but Obi’s response is to tour Kano’s slums and Sokoto’s schools, asking: “Does hunger have a tribe?”
Here’s the kicker: Obi’s not perfect. He’s awkward in front of cameras, his speeches sometimes feel like MBA lectures, and his obsession with data can come off as robotic. But that’s why he works. In a landscape of loud, larger-than-life thieves, Obi’s boring. Gloriously, reassuringly boring. He’s the spreadsheet guy in a room full of con artists, the substitute teacher who actually makes you care about math.
So who is Peter Obi? He’s the answer to a question Nigeria’s been too scared to ask: What if we tried honesty? He’s the market trader turned governor, the dad who won’t buy a new car, the meme king of a movement that’s half hope, half rage. But mostly, he’s a mirror. And when Nigeria looks into it, the reflection isn’t pretty—a nation gutted by greed, yes, but also one teeming with kids who’d rather code apps than carry ballot boxes.
The old guard hates him because he’s everything they’re not: accountable, uncorrupted, unafraid. The youth love him because he’s everything they aspire to be: a disruptor who didn’t sell out. But Obi’s real power isn’t in winning elections—it’s in exposing the lie that Nigeria can’t change. Every time he tweets a budget line item, every time he wears that same cloth colour or style, every time he says “No” to a dirty deal, he’s rewriting the rules.
So yes, maybe Obi won’t be president. Maybe the system will swallow him whole. But here’s the thing: you can’t unsee the cracks he’s made in the wall. Nigeria’s youth have tasted what’s possible—a leader who looks like them, thinks like them, fights like them. And once that genie’s out of the bottle, good luck stuffing it back in. Obi’s legacy isn’t in palaces or pipelines; it’s in the kid in Kano who now believes integrity isn’t a fairy tale.
The man’s a walking paradox—a saint with offshore accounts, a technocrat with street cred, a quiet force loud enough to shake a nation. Love him or hate him, Peter Obi’s the itch Nigeria can’t stop scratching. And maybe, just maybe, that’s how healing begins.
The path forward demands a synthesis: leveraging Obi’s energy to pressure existing structures while cultivating alliances that prioritize policy over patronage. Whether Obi can thread this needle—or whether Nigeria’s political oligarchy will co-opt or crush his insurgency—remains the defining question of this decade.

To the Northern elite: Your choice is simple. Double down on a failed dynasty, or back the man who might save you from yourselves. To the rest of us: The Igbo name isn’t a curse—it’s a mirror. It’s time to look in, and finally see a Nigeria that works. Obi isn’t perfect. But he’s the closest we’ve got to a chance. And right now, a chance is all we’re asking for.
What, then, is the sum of this rage, this refusal to bend to the old calculus of power? The answer lies not in Peter Obi’s person, but in what he has come to represent: a mirror held up to Nigeria’s rotting soul, a provocation to a system sustained by collective delusion. How many more times must we watch the same tired actors shuffle roles—president to kingmaker, reformer to opportunist—while the nation burns? How many more budgets must vanish into the void, how many more schools crumble, how many more mass graves fill with the nameless before we admit that this is not governance but necrophilia? Obi’s rejection of the VP gambit is defiance; it is a verdict on Nigeria’s entire political project. To reduce him to Atiku or Northern oligarchs’ sidekick is to miss the point entirely. He is not a candidate; he is an indictment.
But let us be clear-eyed. The Northern elite’s sudden courtship of Obi is not enlightenment—it is survival instinct. They see what we see: a populace no longer soothed by ethno-religious incantations, a generation that trades WhatsApp forwards about Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew while queuing for visas at foreign embassies. Their panic is palpable. When a former Northern governor warns that “Borno’s fall is Nigeria’s funeral,” yet still peddles the fiction that power must be “gifted” through backroom deals, we see the dissonance of a dying regime. They cling to the carcass of “zoning” while their own streets scream for oxygen. Who, truly, holds power when a governor sleeps in a warzone while the Commander-in-Chief jets off to inaugurate popes?
Obi’s critics sneer: “He’s just an Igbo man with a spreadsheet.” But therein lies the genius of his rebellion. By weaponizing competence over cronyism, transparency over tribalism, he has exposed the lie at the heart of Nigeria’s ethnic politics: that looting is a national sport with no tribal boundaries. The same youths chanting “Obi 2027” across the North are not deluded—they are desperate. They know the Hausa boy hawking suya in Port Harcourt shares more with the Igbo keke driver in Sokoto than either does with the billionaires in Aso Rock. Obi’s frugality, his relentless focus on data over dogma, his refusal to genuflect before the altar of “political settlements”—these are not quirks. They are revolutions.
Yet revolutions demand more than hashtags. The Obidient Movement’s metamorphosis from digital fury to political force remains incomplete, trapped between the cynicism of LP’s defectors and the inertia of a citizenry weaned on learned helplessness. But here is the truth that terrifies the old guard: Obi has already won. He has shifted the Overton window, making “accountability” a demand rather than a plea. Whether he sits in Aso Rock or not, his shadow looms over every budget padding, every phantom contract, every lie parroted by a minister. The question is no longer “Can Obi lead?”—it is “Can Nigeria survive itself?”
The Northern elite—and their enablers nationwide—must choose: double down on a corpse or rise to the reckoning. Obi’s presidency is not a favor to the Southeast; it is Nigeria’s shot at closure. To those who ask, “But can an Igbo man unite us?”, we must retort: “Did a Yoruba or Fulani man ever truly try?” The answer is written in mass graves, in ghost schools, in the eyes of 20 million children chasing futures that slip further each day. Obi’s edge is not perfection—it is possibility. And in a nation starved of hope, possibility is the rarest currency of all.
The hour is late. The kite flying about VP slots and “strategic alliances” is not just wrong—it is an obscenity. Nigeria does not need another power-sharing formula. It needs a power-demolishing crusade. Obi, flawed as he may be, is the wrecking ball. Let him swing.
Echi dị Ime!

©️AI-KO
May 2025
Lagos
iagbeze@msn.com

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